… CPI,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. “A strong inflation print would reinforce expectations of a Fed hike, lift yields further and weigh more heavily on gold.” Traders are pricing in a 58.4% chance of a rate hike at the Fed’s September 15-16 meeting, CME’s …
… d that the U.S. had control of the strait and had swept the strategic oil waterway for Iranian mines. “There appears to be a gulf, no pun intended, between the U.S. and Iran over what any agreement would actually look like,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
… . “Traders have been conditioned by the on-again, off-again nature of the negotiations and are waiting for tangible evidence, such as verified tanker movements or formal agreements, before further unwinding the risk premium,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
… it had been hit by an unknown projectile. “While the fighting between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis has not completely halted energy flows, it has forced longer voyage times, higher insurance costs and occasional diversions,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
… Brent on track for a third consecutive weekly gain and WTI on pace for a second weekly gain. “The potential threat of the Red Sea becoming another major supply disruption point is further complicating the global oil outlook,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
… tensions outweighing support from softer June U.S. inflation figures released this week. “Even with tamer CPI and PPI figures, the oil price spike this week meant traders simply couldn’t celebrate the cooler inflation numbers,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
… nent halt to the war, which has engulfed Iran’s neighbors. “The chances of oil moving back toward $100 in the reasonably near term are still meaningful if hostilities intensify which damages energy infrastructure around the Gulf,” Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
… ident Donald Trump reinstated a blockade of Iranian shipping and proposed charging a 20% fee to guard the Strait of Hormuz. “The latest escalation, including the U.S. reinstatement of the blockade and Iranian responses, has clearly injected fresh risk into the market,” KCM Trade …
… steps towards recovery in supply have eased the immediate risk premium, but the market remains wary of putting too much faith in the stability of the current truce given the on-again-off-again nature of U.S.-Iran relations,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
… 3%, the smallest weekly movements for both in months. “It’s a case of guarded optimism, with the market wanting to believe the peace efforts will hold, but it’s still hedging its bets until it sees real evidence on the water,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade …
Spot gold dropped 0.5% to $4,405.47 per ounce on Monday as strong U.S. job growth reinforced expectations for higher interest rates, with traders pricing in a 58.4% chance of a Fed rate hike at its September 15-16 meeting. Market participants await U.S. inflation data due later in the week for further clarity on the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Spot gold dropped 0.5% to $4,405.47 per ounce on Monday as strong U.S. job growth reinforced expectations for higher interest rates, with traders pricing in a 58.4% chance of a Fed rate hike at its September 15-16 meeting. Market participants await U.S. inflation data due later in the week for further clarity on the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Oil prices held at one-week highs on Tuesday as hopes for a US-Iran peace deal dimmed following President Trump's demands for compensation, with Brent crude at $87.81 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate at $82.20. Saudi Aramco has postponed the restart of its Jazan refinery to August 30 after the Houthis claimed attacks on the plant.
Oil prices rose Monday as Iran said a deal with Oman on new shipping lanes was in final stages but insisted the U.S. must meet other conditions before the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Brent crude rose to $84.46 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate to $78.79, with both benchmarks recovering from last week's 7% decline that followed hopes for a deal.
Oil prices rebounded 1% on Tuesday after a steep plunge, driven by concerns that Middle East supply remains at risk as diplomatic resolution to the U.S.-Iran war seems unlikely. Brent futures rose to $84.89 a barrel and WTI crude to $81.11, though Iran's Foreign Ministry rejected Trump's claims of ongoing negotiations to end the conflict over control of the Strait of Hormuz, a channel for about a fifth of global crude oil and natural gas shipments before the conflict.
Brent crude rose 0.83% to $84.93 a barrel and WTI rose 1.03% to $79.76 a barrel on Friday as US-Iran hostilities escalated and Tehran asked the Houthis to prepare to shut the Red Sea export route, with both benchmarks climbing nearly 12% for the week.
Gold was on track for its biggest weekly loss in six as escalating U.S.-Iran clashes lifted oil prices by about 12% this week, adding to inflationary pressures and strengthening the case for higher U.S. interest rates. The metal has lost 3.2% so far this week, outweighing support from softer June U.S. inflation figures.
Oil rose on Wednesday as President Trump reimposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports and Iran launched retaliatory strikes on U.S. infrastructure. Brent crude closed at its highest since June 12 and WTI at its highest since June 15, with prices driven up by supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, where one-fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas transited before the war.
Oil prices rose nearly 3% on Tuesday to their highest in four weeks after the U.S. reimposed a naval blockade of Iran while the two countries stepped up attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, with Brent crude reaching $84.80 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate rising to $79.84. The escalation has injected fresh risk and uncertainty into energy markets.
Brent crude gained 0.39% to $72.29 and U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose 0.26% to $68.84 a barrel as traders shifted focus from easing Middle East tensions to supply increases and demand prospects. The U.A.E. raised crude output above 3.8 million bpd in June, its highest since April 2020, after leaving OPEC+ production quotas in May.
Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate rose slightly on Friday before a long U.S. holiday weekend, as wary optimism held over peace efforts between the United States and Iran in the Middle East. Shipping has partially resumed through the Strait of Hormuz, and Gulf producers are ramping up production following an initial deal between the two countries.
Brent crude fell 0.9% to $72.51 a barrel as investors focus on potential U.S.-Iran negotiations in Doha amid a strained interim ceasefire, with prices down around 22% from last month and nearly back to pre-war levels from February 27.
Brent crude futures closed at $73.74 a barrel on Wednesday, down 4.3%, after oil tankers resumed exiting the Strait of Hormuz with military escorts. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said around 20 million barrels exited the strait in the last 24 hours and that flows are now similar to pre-conflict levels, though Iranian mines had delayed normal navigation.
Oil prices declined on Tuesday, with Brent crude falling 0.3% to $77.70 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropping 0.2% to $73.74 a barrel, as investors tracked crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz following U.S.-Iran peace talks and a U.S. sanctions waiver on Iran.
Oil prices rebounded on Tuesday amid concerns about the lack of details in a preliminary agreement to end the US-Iran war and uncertainty about how quickly the blocked Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Brent crude gained 0.3% to $83.42 a barrel and US West Texas Intermediate rose 0.3% to $81.12 a barrel.
Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate prices rose slightly after Iran and Israel halted attacks following an appeal from U.S. President Donald Trump, though investors remain uncertain whether the truce will hold given lingering geopolitical tensions and the possibility of resumed strikes.
Oil prices eased more than 1% on Tuesday after the U.S. Navy launched an operation to loosen Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with a U.S.-flagged vessel successfully exiting the Gulf with military escort. Brent crude fell to $113.22 per barrel and WTI crude to $104.40, though analysts cautioned the escorted passage remains a limited event rather than full reopening.